McCain: How is 35% enough?
How is it that right now, at 9:20pm Tuesday night, I'm listening to John McCain give a victory speech and sites are already giving him New Hampshire with only 35% of the precincts reporting? Where is the math to back this up? Might not the other 65% of the state vote differently?
2 comments:
They have calculations that kick in when a certain margin between candidates has been achieved it is considered statistically impossible for the gap to be closed with the remaining uncounted votes. I'm sure there's a certain amount of probabilities math that factors in because it does seem quick to know the results that fast. It's part of the reason they do qualify by saying something like "ABC is projecting that candidates X will win".
The Hillary/Obama race wasn't called until hours later even though the final margin was only 2 percentage points closer than Romney/McCain.
I was in NH campaigning for Romney on Monday and Tuesday.
Yeah, I saw some of your footage. Not bad for a phone.
Although both projected winners won, I still question the "statistically impossible" part.
Although, after Hillary's café roundtable I could have projected her to win, too.
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